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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Barnsley |
24.67% ( 0.12) | 24.94% ( 0.07) | 50.38% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 51.7% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.28% ( -0.18) | 50.72% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.38% ( -0.16) | 72.62% ( 0.16) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.74% ( 0.01) | 35.26% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.98% ( 0.01) | 72.02% ( -0.01) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.86% ( -0.15) | 20.14% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.59% ( -0.24) | 52.41% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 24.67% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 50.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 39 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 67 | 31 | 36 | 80 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 80 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 74 | 31 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Barnsley | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 66 | 34 | 32 | 75 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 64 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 39 | 20 | 4 | 15 | 65 | 47 | 18 | 64 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 59 | 41 | 18 | 64 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 39 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 62 |
9 | Portsmouth | 39 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 61 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 55 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 53 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 50 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 38 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 46 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 45 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 45 |
17 | Port Vale | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 45 |
18 | Burton Albion | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 42 |
19 | MK Dons | 39 | 11 | 7 | 21 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 40 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 38 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 35 |
22 | Morecambe | 40 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 37 | 68 | -31 | 34 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 33 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 39 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 72 | -43 | 26 |
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