Espanyol have drawn five of their 13 away La Liga matches during the 2022-23 campaign, and we can see another draw in this contest. Both teams are in disappointing form, but a point apiece in the Catalan contest would not be the worst result in the world for either side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
0.15) 
-0.03) 
