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J1 League | Gameweek 6
Apr 1, 2023 at 6am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium
Albirex Niigata
1 - 3
Nagoya Grampus
Ota (35')
Hayakawa (18')
Fitzgerald (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nagai (56'), Junker (80'), Inagaki (90+4')
Fujii (89'), Ishida (90+1')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, March 18 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.07%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (12.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawNagoya Grampus
34.74% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 29.18% (0.0010000000000012 0) 36.07% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 44.35% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.55% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)62.45% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.93% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)82.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.15% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)33.84% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)70.51% (0.012 0.01)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.96% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.54%
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 34.74%
    Nagoya Grampus 36.08%
    Draw 29.17%
Albirex NiigataDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 7.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.55% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 34.74%
1-1 @ 13.41%
0-0 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.17%
0-1 @ 12.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.08%

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