Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Troyes |
54.67% | 24.54% | 20.78% |
Both teams to score 48.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.04% | 52.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.44% | 74.55% |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.7% | 19.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.95% | 51.04% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.77% | 40.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.14% | 76.86% |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 12.77% 2-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.92% Total : 54.66% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.07% 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.3% Total : 20.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |