Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Rennes |
25.35% ( -0.35) | 25.08% ( 0.24) | 49.57% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 51.92% ( -1.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.25% ( -1.25) | 50.75% ( 1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.35% ( -1.11) | 72.64% ( 1.12) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.3% ( -0.97) | 34.7% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.57% ( -1.04) | 71.43% ( 1.05) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.51% ( -0.45) | 20.49% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.03% ( -0.72) | 52.96% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.13% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 5% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.65% Total : 49.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |