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National League South | Gameweek 41
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Stadium
Cheshunt
1 - 2
Chelmsford City
Charles (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jackson (5'), Winfield (80')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Cheshunt and Chelmsford City.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Cheshunt
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 5-1 Hungerford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 1-0 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
CheshuntDrawChelmsford City
27.84% (-0.412 -0.41) 24.68% (0.119 0.12) 47.47% (0.289 0.29)
Both teams to score 55.3% (-0.701 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.69% (-0.783 -0.78)47.3% (0.78 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.47% (-0.732 -0.73)69.53% (0.72799999999999 0.73)
Cheshunt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.11% (-0.70999999999999 -0.71)30.88% (0.706 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.83% (-0.84 -0.84)67.17% (0.837 0.84)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (-0.194 -0.19)19.99% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (-0.309 -0.31)52.17% (0.305 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Cheshunt 27.84%
    Chelmsford City 47.47%
    Draw 24.68%
CheshuntDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.095 0.09)
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.26% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.67% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 27.84%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.263 0.26)
1-2 @ 9.4% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 8% (0.165 0.17)
1-3 @ 5.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.29% (0.063999999999999 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 47.47%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Chelmsford City
2-0
Cheshunt
Ochieng (87'), Ruff (89')

McKenzie (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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