MX23RW : Tuesday, May 30 15:33:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship header 2

Championship
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Watford logo
Luton
2 - 0
Watford
Osho (28'), Campbell (90+1')
Drameh (90+1'), Ruddock (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedro (45+1'), Choudhury (78'), Louza (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Luton
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

Watford

All competitions
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Watford

 This has all the makings of a highly-competitive game, particularly with Wilder having had the international break to work with his squad. Nevertheless, Luton are growing in confidence at Kenilworth Road, leading us to predict a narrow victory for the Hatters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 48.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawWatford
48.77% (0.779 0.78) 26.57% (-0.267 -0.27) 24.65% (-0.518 -0.52)
Both teams to score 46.93% (0.27 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (0.583 0.58)56.96% (-0.59 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14% (0.463 0.46)77.86% (-0.47 -0.47)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (0.613 0.61)23.42% (-0.62 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (0.885 0.88)57.41% (-0.892 -0.89)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.28% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)38.72% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54% (-0.136 -0.14)75.45% (0.12899999999999 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 48.77%
    Watford 24.65%
    Draw 26.57%
Luton TownDrawWatford
1-0 @ 13.16% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.55% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.145 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.122 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 48.77%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 9.07% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 8.6% (-0.229 -0.23)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 24.65%

How you voted: Luton vs Watford

Luton Town
76.5%
Draw
5.9%
Watford
17.6%
34
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Watford
4-0
Luton
Davis (3'), Troost-Ekong (45'), Pedro (57'), Sarr (79')

Bradley (18')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Luton
1-0
Watford
Collins (78' pen.)
Bradley (28'), Berry (80')

Femenia (72'), Troost-Ekong (75'), Sierralta (76')
Femenia (88')
Sep 26, 2020 12.30pm
Watford
1-0
Luton
Pedro (35')

Pearson (75'), Norrington-Davies (90+3')
Apr 9, 2006 3pm
Watford
1-1
Luton
King (36')
Doyley (76'), King (90')
Brkovic (73')
Showunmi (37'), Howard (42'), Heikkinen (51')
Jan 2, 2006 3pm
Luton
1-2
Watford
Edwards (49')
Foley (67')
Mackay (30'), Henderson (9')
Henderson (54'), Carlisle (81')
Young (67')
rhs 2.0
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5Coventry CityCoventry4618161258461270
6Sunderland4618151368551369
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46209175254-269
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9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461812165953666
10Swansea CitySwansea461812166864466
11Watford461615155653363
12Preston North EndPreston461712174559-1463
13Norwich CityNorwich461711185754362
14Bristol City461514175556-159
15Hull City461416165161-1058
16Stoke CityStoke461411215554153
17Birmingham CityBirmingham461411214758-1153
18Huddersfield TownHuddersfield461411214762-1553
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham461117184960-1150
20Queens Park RangersQPR461311224471-2750
21Cardiff CityCardiff461310234158-1749
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RBlackpool461111244872-2444
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