Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.95%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 6.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.93%) and 1-0 (11.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Santa Clara |
78.95% ( 0.05) | 14.35% ( -0.03) | 6.7% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 40.08% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.69% ( 0.1) | 41.31% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.29% ( 0.1) | 63.71% ( -0.1) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.53% ( 0.03) | 8.47% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.63% ( 0.09) | 29.37% ( -0.09) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.79% ( 0.03) | 56.21% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.41% ( 0.02) | 88.59% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Santa Clara |
2-0 @ 14.5% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 11.93% 1-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 78.93% | 1-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 14.35% | 0-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 6.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
2 | Porto | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 19 | 45 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Vizela | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 40 |
10 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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