Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.34%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 8.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 3-0 (10.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Santa Clara |
75.34% ( 1.28) | 15.77% ( -0.5) | 8.89% ( -0.78) |
Both teams to score 45.9% ( -1.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.26% ( -0.24) | 39.73% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.91% ( -0.24) | 62.09% ( 0.24) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.07% ( 0.24) | 8.92% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.51% ( 0.57) | 30.49% ( -0.57) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.4% ( -1.83) | 49.6% ( 1.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.62% ( -1.31) | 84.38% ( 1.31) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Santa Clara |
2-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.34) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.16) 5-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.75% Total : 75.32% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.67% Total : 15.77% | 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.07% Total : 8.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 25 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 66 | 14 | 52 | 68 |
2 | Porto | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 58 |
3 | Braga | 25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 56 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 23 | 26 | 50 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 41 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
8 | Vizela | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 33 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 33 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 32 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 30 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 29 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 25 |
16 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 17 |
17 | Maritimo | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 47 | -30 | 16 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 15 |
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