Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 80.42%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 6.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.81%) and 1-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Santa Clara |
80.42% | 13.19% | 6.39% |
Both teams to score 42.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.16% | 36.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.98% | 59.02% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.86% | 7.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.02% | 25.99% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.02% | 53.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.74% | 87.26% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Santa Clara |
2-0 @ 13.42% 3-0 @ 11.81% 1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 8.28% 4-0 @ 7.8% 3-1 @ 7.29% 4-1 @ 4.81% 5-0 @ 4.12% 5-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.25% 6-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.48% 6-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.51% Total : 80.4% | 1-1 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 3.85% 2-2 @ 2.55% Other @ 0.51% Total : 13.19% | 0-1 @ 2.38% 1-2 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.08% Total : 6.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 17 | 51 | 71 |
2 | Porto | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 67 |
3 | Braga | 27 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 62 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 56 | 26 | 30 | 57 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
8 | Vizela | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
9 | Casa Pia | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 38 |
10 | ChavesChaves | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 34 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 31 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 30 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
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