Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Porto |
15.22% | 20.56% | 64.22% |
Both teams to score 50.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.95% | 45.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.6% | 67.39% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.84% | 42.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.42% | 78.57% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.69% | 13.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.86% | 40.14% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.84% 2-1 @ 4.22% 2-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.23% 3-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.62% Total : 15.22% | 1-1 @ 9.77% 0-0 @ 5.61% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.92% Total : 20.56% | 0-2 @ 11.41% 0-1 @ 11.31% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-3 @ 7.67% 1-3 @ 6.63% 0-4 @ 3.87% 1-4 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-5 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.44% 1-5 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.92% Total : 64.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 17 | 51 | 71 |
2 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 |
3 | Porto | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 67 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 58 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 45 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Vizela | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 39 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 36 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 35 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 31 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 30 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
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