Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 66.39%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.84%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
