Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Portimonense |
44.26% | 27.05% | 28.69% |
Both teams to score 48.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.68% | 56.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.65% | 77.35% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% | 25.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.93% | 60.07% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.02% | 34.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.28% | 71.72% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 12.16% 2-1 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.3% Total : 44.26% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.13% Total : 28.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
2 | Porto | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 11 | 34 | 45 |
3 | Braga | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 38 |
5 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 27 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 25 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Vizela | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 24 |
11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 23 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 21 |
13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 21 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 19 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
17 | Maritimo | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
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