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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
35.15% ( 3.75) | 28.16% ( -0.55) | 36.68% ( -3.2) |
Both teams to score 47.29% ( 2.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.13% ( 2.45) | 58.87% ( -2.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.63% ( 1.86) | 79.37% ( -1.86) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.28% ( 3.88) | 31.72% ( -3.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.86% ( 4.22) | 68.14% ( -4.22) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.25% ( -0.71) | 30.74% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.99% ( -0.84) | 67% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.72) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.72) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.54) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.5) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.29) Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.14% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.94) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.35) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( -1.35) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.95) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.43) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.22% Total : 36.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
2 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56 | 34 | 22 | 61 |
3 | Stevenage | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 60 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 59 |
5 | Bradford CityBradford | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 58 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 56 |
7 | Salford City | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 56 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 54 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 51 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 49 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 48 |
13 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 47 |
14 | Walsall | 33 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 44 |
15 | AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 39 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 39 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 38 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 35 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 35 |
21 | Gillingham | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 35 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 29 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 |
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