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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
45.96% ( -0.1) | 26.18% ( 0.08) | 27.85% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.6% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.54% ( -0.31) | 53.46% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.02% ( -0.26) | 74.98% ( 0.26) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.78% ( -0.18) | 23.21% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.88% ( -0.27) | 57.12% ( 0.27) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.89% ( -0.14) | 34.1% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.21% ( -0.16) | 70.79% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 60 |
2 | Stevenage | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 56 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 28 | 20 | 51 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 50 |
5 | Salford City | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 43 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 42 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 41 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 38 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 38 |
15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 37 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 33 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 31 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 27 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 25 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 |
23 | Gillingham | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 24 |
24 | Rochdale | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 20 |
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