Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
42.02% ( -0.34) | 26.87% ( -0.04) | 31.11% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 50.27% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.29% ( 0.3) | 54.71% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.97% ( 0.24) | 76.04% ( -0.24) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.28% ( -0.04) | 25.72% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.36% ( -0.06) | 60.64% ( 0.06) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% ( 0.43) | 32.33% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.16% ( 0.48) | 68.84% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.02% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 45 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 90 |
P | Stevenage | 45 | 23 | 13 | 9 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 82 |
3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 22 | 14 | 9 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 80 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 78 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 20 | 15 | 10 | 65 | 42 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Salford City | 45 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 75 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 75 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 55 | 15 | 72 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 8 | 19 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 58 |
11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 58 |
12 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 58 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 57 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 56 |
15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 55 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 54 |
17 | Walsall | 45 | 11 | 19 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 52 |
18 | Gillingham | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 52 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 51 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 49 |
21 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 48 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 46 |
R | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 45 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 51 | 77 | -26 | 42 |
R | Rochdale | 45 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 37 |
> Full Version |