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Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK at Alexandra Stadium
League Two | Gameweek 21
Crewe
0 - 2
Leyton Orient

Nevitt (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Turns (31'), Archibald (59')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-2 Leyton Orient

Given the fact that Crewe lost their last home match, it is likely that they will come unstuck once again against the league leaders. Although the O's lost here in November, they have won their last three league games and are in inspired form, so they should be able to cement their place at the top of League Two in comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Leyton Orient in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leyton Orient.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawLeyton Orient
25.48% (-1.44 -1.44) 27.11% (-0.325 -0.33) 47.4% (1.768 1.77)
Both teams to score 46.18% (-0.186 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.71% (0.305 0.31)58.29% (-0.304 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.08% (0.24 0.24)78.92% (-0.238 -0.24)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.28% (-1.075 -1.08)38.72% (1.077 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54% (-1.038 -1.04)75.46% (1.038 1.04)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (1.001 1)24.64% (-1 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84% (1.379 1.38)59.16% (-1.379 -1.38)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 25.48%
    Leyton Orient 47.4%
    Draw 27.11%
Crewe AlexandraDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.377 -0.38)
2-1 @ 6.02% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-0 @ 4.3% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-1 @ 1.9% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.36% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 25.48%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 9.54% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.11%
0-1 @ 13.36% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 9.36% (0.421 0.42)
1-2 @ 8.88% (0.147 0.15)
0-3 @ 4.37% (0.315 0.32)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.185 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.15 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 47.4%

How you voted: Crewe vs Leyton Orient

Crewe Alexandra
17.9%
Draw
14.3%
Leyton Orient
67.9%
28
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Crewe
1-0
Leyton Orient
Sambou (90+2')
Thomas (31')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeyton Orient432512658292987
2Northampton TownNorthampton442214860402080
3Stevenage432113957391876
4Stockport CountyStockport4421121161362575
5Carlisle UnitedCarlisle442015963392475
6Salford City442191469511872
7Bradford CityBradford431915956381872
8Mansfield TownMansfield4320121168511772
9BarrowBarrow44188184649-362
10Swindon TownSwindon431513155851758
11Tranmere RoversTranmere441512174446-257
12Sutton UnitedSutton441512174453-957
13Grimsby Town431413164654-855
14Newport CountyNewport431314164750-353
15Gillingham441313183447-1352
16Doncaster RoversDoncaster44157224463-1952
17Walsall441118154448-451
18Crewe AlexandraCrewe421215154153-1251
19Colchester UnitedColchester441213194448-449
20AFC Wimbledon441114194758-1147
21Harrogate TownHarrogate431015185364-1145
22Crawley TownCrawley441112214769-2245
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool44815214876-2839
RRochdale44810264168-2734

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