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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 51.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Leyton Orient |
51.69% ( -0.04) | 26.44% ( -0.02) | 21.87% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 44.43% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.28% ( 0.1) | 58.72% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.75% ( 0.08) | 79.25% ( -0.08) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.14% ( 0.02) | 22.86% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.4% ( 0.04) | 56.6% ( -0.04) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.59% ( 0.12) | 42.41% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.21% ( 0.1) | 78.79% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 14.3% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.08% Total : 21.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 71 |
2 | Stevenage | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 60 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 58 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 56 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 54 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 54 |
7 | Salford City | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 53 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 52 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 50 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 48 |
11 | BarrowBarrow | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 48 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 47 |
13 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 46 |
14 | Walsall | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 43 |
15 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 42 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 38 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 38 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 37 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 35 |
20 | Gillingham | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 33 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 31 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 62 | -26 | 28 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 27 | 52 | -25 | 22 |
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