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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Leyton Orient |
36.65% ( -0.62) | 28.05% ( 0.38) | 35.3% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 47.63% ( -1.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.55% ( -1.42) | 58.45% ( 1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.96% ( -1.13) | 79.04% ( 1.13) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.44% ( -1.08) | 30.56% ( 1.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.22% ( -1.3) | 66.79% ( 1.31) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.59% ( -0.56) | 31.41% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.22% ( -0.66) | 67.78% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.64% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 67 |
2 | Stevenage | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 57 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 52 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 52 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 49 |
6 | Salford City | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 49 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 48 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 48 |
9 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 46 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 42 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 41 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 41 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Walsall | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 40 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 35 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 35 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 33 |
19 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 33 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Gillingham | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 27 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 26 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 21 |
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