Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
