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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Swindon Town |
39.11% | 28.5% | 32.39% |
Both teams to score 45.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.64% | 60.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.49% | 80.51% |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.99% | 30.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.86% | 66.14% |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.63% | 34.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.93% | 71.07% |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 12.41% 2-1 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 0.96% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.48% Total : 39.11% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.48% | 0-1 @ 11.01% 1-2 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 5.88% 1-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.28% Total : 32.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
2 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56 | 34 | 22 | 61 |
3 | Stevenage | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 60 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 59 |
5 | Bradford CityBradford | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 57 |
6 | Salford City | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 56 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 51 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 51 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 49 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 48 |
13 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 47 |
14 | Walsall | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 43 |
15 | AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 39 |
17 | Grimsby Town | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 38 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 37 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 35 |
20 | Gillingham | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 34 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 32 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 29 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 |
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