Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 34.99%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (13.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
