Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Grimsby Town |
28.25% ( 0.47) | 25.97% ( 0.11) | 45.78% ( -0.58) |
Both teams to score 51.51% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.6% ( -0.17) | 52.4% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.92% ( -0.14) | 74.08% ( 0.14) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.76% ( 0.27) | 33.24% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.15% ( 0.3) | 69.85% ( -0.3) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.15% ( -0.34) | 22.84% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.43% ( -0.5) | 56.57% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.45% Total : 28.25% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 29 | 29 | 87 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 60 | 40 | 20 | 80 |
3 | Stevenage | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 76 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 61 | 36 | 25 | 75 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 75 |
6 | Salford City | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 69 | 51 | 18 | 72 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 72 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 72 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 58 |
11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 57 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 57 |
13 | Grimsby Town | 43 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 55 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 53 |
15 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 52 |
16 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 15 | 7 | 22 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 52 |
17 | Walsall | 44 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 51 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 51 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 49 |
20 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 47 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 43 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 45 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 44 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 47 | 69 | -22 | 45 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | 76 | -28 | 39 |
R | Rochdale | 44 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
> Full Version |