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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Stockport County |
29.49% ( 0.21) | 26.09% ( 0.05) | 44.42% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 51.88% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.72% ( -0.09) | 52.28% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.02% ( -0.08) | 73.98% ( 0.08) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.76% ( 0.11) | 32.25% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.26% ( 0.12) | 68.74% ( -0.12) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.56% ( -0.16) | 23.44% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.56% ( -0.23) | 57.45% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.49% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.86% Total : 44.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 70 |
2 | Stevenage | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 57 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 54 |
5 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 52 |
6 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 52 |
7 | Salford City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 49 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 47 |
10 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 46 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 45 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Walsall | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 42 |
14 | AFC Wimbledon | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 42 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 41 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 37 |
17 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
18 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 31 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 37 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 30 |
21 | Gillingham | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 30 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 27 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
24 | Rochdale | 33 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 21 |
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