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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 69.77%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stockport County in this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
69.77% ( -0.01) | 18.98% ( 0) | 11.25% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.03% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.79% ( -0.01) | 47.22% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.56% ( -0.01) | 69.45% ( 0.01) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.64% ( -0) | 12.36% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.8% ( -0.01) | 38.2% ( 0.01) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.24% ( 0) | 49.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.51% ( 0) | 84.49% |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-0 @ 13.44% 1-0 @ 12.85% 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 9.37% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.28% 5-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.92% Total : 69.76% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.27% Other @ 0.58% Total : 18.98% | 0-1 @ 4.29% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.33% Total : 11.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 57 |
2 | Stevenage | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 55 |
3 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 49 |
5 | Salford City | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 |
6 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 42 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 41 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 40 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 39 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 39 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 39 |
13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 38 |
14 | Walsall | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 37 |
15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 37 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 33 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 31 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 30 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 24 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Gillingham | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 21 |
24 | Rochdale | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
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