Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
50.53% ( -0.28) | 23.78% ( 0.08) | 25.68% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 56.41% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.02% ( -0.17) | 44.98% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.67% ( -0.16) | 67.33% ( 0.16) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.14% ( -0.17) | 17.85% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.38% ( -0.29) | 48.62% ( 0.29) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.67% ( 0.07) | 31.32% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.31% ( 0.09) | 67.68% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.53% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 25.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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