Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Inter Milan |
42.4% ( 1.35) | 24.09% ( -0.11) | 33.5% ( -1.25) |
Both teams to score 60.42% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.06% ( 0.21) | 41.93% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.66% ( 0.21) | 64.34% ( -0.22) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.01% ( 0.7) | 19.99% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.83% ( 1.12) | 52.16% ( -1.12) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.51% ( -0.61) | 24.49% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.06% ( -0.86) | 58.94% ( 0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Inter Milan |
2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.03% Total : 42.4% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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