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Inter logo
Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan logo
Inter Milan
3 - 0
AC Milan
Martinez (4', 40'), Gosens (82')
Skriniar (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hernandez (35'), Tomori (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan (Inter win 2-1 on aggregate)

While the away goals rule could play a role in how both sides approach this game - Milan may be happy to sit in and try to strike a blow on the counter - the greater goal threat that Inter pose is set to see them through to the final. A number of options in attack, by contrast with their rivals' recent troubles in that department, may ultimately decide the destiny of this contest in the Nerazzurri's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
49.14%22.64%28.22%
Both teams to score 62.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.32%37.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.08%59.92%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35%15.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.33%44.66%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33%25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42%60.58%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 49.14%
    AC Milan 28.22%
    Draw 22.64%
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-0 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-1 @ 2.7%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.83%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 49.14%
1-1 @ 10.13%
2-2 @ 6.39%
0-0 @ 4.02%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-1 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 1.68%
1-4 @ 1.06%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.22%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs AC Milan

Inter Milan
62.8%
Draw
19.1%
AC Milan
18.1%
215
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2022 8pm
Feb 5, 2022 5pm
Inter Milan
1-2
AC Milan
Perisic (38')
Calhanoglu (60'), Skriniar (84')
Giroud (75', 78')
Romagnoli (21'), Diaz (72'), Bennacer (76'), Krunic (90+1')
Hernandez (90+5')
Nov 7, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 21, 2021 2pm
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Inter Milan
2-1
AC Milan
Lukaku (71' pen.), Eriksen (90+7')
Lukaku (45'), Brozovic (52'), Hakimi (90+10')
Ibrahimovic (31')
Kjaer (17'), Ibrahimovic (45+1'), Rebic (65'), Kessie (90+9')
Ibrahimovic (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351812563313266
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341771066452158
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

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