The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Venezia 0-0 Cagliari
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
We said: Cagliari 0-2 Inter Milan
Following a 4-0 win in December's reverse fixture at San Siro, Inter are set to complete the double over Cagliari, as they carry over momentum from their Coppa Italia triumph. With a winnable game remaining on the final day, the hosts may still have a shot at redemption next week, but they have lost half of their home fixtures to this point and are particularly vulnerable defensively. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.54%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.78%) and 0-3 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan |
10.2% ( 1.35) | 16.26% ( 1.02) | 73.54% ( -2.36) |
| Both teams to score 49.64% ( 1.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
