Avispa Fukuoka 3-2 Shimizu S-Pulse - J1 League - September 17, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Sep 17, 2022 at 11am UK

Nakamura (36'), Yamagishi (42', 49')
Croux (86'), Juanma (89')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Yamahara (29'), Thiago (60' pen.)
Suzuki (19')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Shimizu S-Pulse.

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
39.82% ( 0.05)	28.18% ( 0.29)	32% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 46.71% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.66% (

-1.11)

59.34% (

1.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.26% (

-0.86)

79.73% (

0.86)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.89% (

-0.5)

29.1% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.97% (

-0.63)

65.03% (

0.62)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.89% (

-0.83)

34.11% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.2% (

-0.9)

70.8% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 39.81%

Shimizu S-Pulse 31.99%

Draw 28.17%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 39.81%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.17%	0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.99%