MX23RW : Saturday, May 20 00:58:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Feb 25, 2023 at 6am UK
AAMI Park
Sydney FC
Melbourne City
3 - 2
Sydney FC
MacLaren (5', 30'), Tilio (13')
van der Venne (55'), Reis (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Mak (28'), Caballo (90+6')
Retre (56')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 3-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 18 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, February 18 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Melbourne City 1-1 Sydney FC

Melbourne City might seem like the favourites on paper for this match, but the recent shock defeat could provide an opening for the visitors to cause problems. Considering the fact that Sydney FC are currently enjoying a great run and have already beaten their opponents, seeing them battle out a draw could end up happening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.49%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 21.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
56.49% (-0.183 -0.18) 21.65% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 21.87% (0.206 0.21)
Both teams to score 59.12% (0.379 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.72% (0.36 0.36)39.28% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.39% (0.375 0.38)61.61% (-0.374 -0.37)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.21% (0.063999999999993 0.06)13.78% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.9% (0.124 0.12)41.1% (-0.122 -0.12)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57% (0.389 0.39)31.43% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.19% (0.446 0.45)67.8% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 56.49%
    Sydney FC 21.87%
    Draw 21.65%
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.5% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.62% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.76% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 56.49%
1-1 @ 9.94% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.65%
1-2 @ 5.75% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.9% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 21.87%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Sydney FC

Melbourne City
52.0%
Draw
32.0%
Sydney FC
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 8.45am
Apr 6, 2022 10.05am
Melbourne City
4-0
Sydney FC
Bos (26'), Leckie (55', 72'), MacLaren (70')

le Fondre (32'), Yazbek (35'), Talbot (90+1')
Feb 26, 2022 8.45am
Sydney FC
1-2
Melbourne City
Ninkovic (53')
Grant (41'), O'Toole (66'), Barbarouses (90+2')
Retre (32' og.), Leckie (90+1')
Berenguer (72'), MacLaren (74')
Jun 27, 2021 8.05am
Melbourne City
3-1
Sydney FC
Atkinson (23'), Jamieson (45+1' pen.), Galloway (90+3')
Tilio (54'), Colakovski (73')
Barbarouses (21')
Brattan (25')
Brattan (35')
Apr 10, 2021 8.05am
rhs 2.0
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