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Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Jan 15, 2023 at 4am UK
Spotless Stadium
Melbourne City
Western Sydney
1 - 1
Melbourne City
Borrello (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)
van der Venne (58')
Leckie (75')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-0 Western Sydney
Friday, January 6 at 11.30am in Australian A-League

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 4-0 Western Utd
Saturday, January 7 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 Melbourne City

 Considering how strong these two teams are from a defensive point of view, this is likely going to be a fixture with few goals. However, out of the two it is Melbourne City who will head in as the favourites due to where they sit in the league table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMelbourne City
26.71% (0.733 0.73) 24.84% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 48.45% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Both teams to score 53.89% (0.64700000000001 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.26% (0.547 0.55)48.74% (-0.547 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.15% (0.495 0.5)70.85% (-0.495 -0.5)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.49% (0.881 0.88)32.51% (-0.879 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.96% (0.975 0.97)69.04% (-0.974 -0.97)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)20.15% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.56% (-0.137 -0.14)52.43% (0.137 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 26.71%
    Melbourne City 48.45%
    Draw 24.84%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawMelbourne City
1-0 @ 7.36% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.62% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 4.14% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.48% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.55% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 26.71%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 9.45% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.41% (-0.236 -0.24)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.49% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 48.45%

How you voted: Western Sydney vs Melbourne City

Western Sydney Wanderers
5.6%
Draw
16.7%
Melbourne City
77.8%
18
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2022 8.45am
Western Sydney
1-3
Melbourne City
Petratos (80' pen.)
Leckie (36', 43'), Berenguer (64')
Jan 9, 2022 7.45am
Melbourne City
3-3
Western Sydney
Galloway (16'), MacLaren (36'), Tilio (60')
Leckie (34'), Jamieson (90+3')
Troisi (5'), Rodwell (9'), Ogawa (69')
Aquilina (44')
Mar 26, 2021 8.05am
Melbourne City
4-1
Western Sydney
Noone (33', 55'), Nabbout (52'), MacLaren (90+2')
Good (50')
Ibini-Isei (21')
Mutch (83')
Mar 2, 2021 8.05am
Western Sydney
0-2
Melbourne City

Baccus (39'), Mutch (63')
MacLaren (6', 54')
Mar 14, 2020 8.30am
Melbourne City
1-1
Western Sydney
MacLaren (30' pen.)
Berenguer (76'), Metcalfe (85')
Russell (21')
Schwegler (27')
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