Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 17.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Western Sydney Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
63.68% | 19.18% | 17.13% |
Both teams to score 59.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.1% | 34.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.12% | 56.88% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.57% | 10.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66% | 34% |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.44% | 33.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.8% | 70.2% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.77% 2-0 @ 8.94% 1-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 7.36% 3-0 @ 6.74% 4-1 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 4.02% 4-0 @ 3.81% 4-2 @ 2.27% 5-1 @ 1.88% 5-0 @ 1.72% 5-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 4.08% Total : 63.68% | 1-1 @ 8.64% 2-2 @ 5.33% 0-0 @ 3.5% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.18% | 1-2 @ 4.72% 0-1 @ 3.82% 0-2 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.94% 1-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.85% Total : 17.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 23 |
2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 21 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
5 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
6 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 17 |
7 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 15 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 13 |
11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 8 |
12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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