Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.63%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.