Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 37.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
