Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
