MX23RW : Sunday, April 16 03:38:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Maritimo
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Feb 25, 2023 at 6pm UK at Estádio dos Barreiros
Maritimo
3 - 1
Santa Clara
Boateng (61' og.), Winck (72' pen.), Liza (78')
Junior (32'), Costa (34'), Mosquera (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Silva (18')
Boateng (20'), Messi (21'), Simao (21'), Batista (27'), Misao (69'), Quintilla (70')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 2-1 Maritimo
Saturday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-3 Famalicao
Sunday, February 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Maritimo 2-1 Santa Clara

With just two points separating the sides in the league table, Saturday's game should be a real cracker and Maritimo and Santa Clara continue their race to beat the drop. Given that Gomes's side will have the extra support of the home fans, we are backing them to do just enough to secure a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawSanta Clara
36.37% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 29.31% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 34.31% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 43.97% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.1% (0.093000000000004 0.09)62.9% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.6% (0.068000000000001 0.07)82.4% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (0.087999999999994 0.09)33% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.41% (0.096 0.1)69.59% (-0.095000000000013 -0.1)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.63% (0.031000000000006 0.03)34.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92% (0.035 0.04)71.08% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 36.37%
    Santa Clara 34.31%
    Draw 29.31%
MaritimoDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 12.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.47% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.37%
1-1 @ 13.43%
0-0 @ 11.34% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.31%
0-1 @ 12.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 34.31%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Santa Clara

Maritimo
74.2%
Draw
19.4%
Santa Clara
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 6pm
Santa Clara
2-1
Maritimo
Allano (52' pen.), Babi (60')
Xadas (36')
Mendes (15')
Apr 23, 2022 6pm
Santa Clara
2-2
Maritimo
Tagawa (5', 33')
Carvalho (14'), Villanueva (84')
Alipour (64'), Winck (85')
Pelagio (50'), Costa (51'), Mendes (70')
Dec 11, 2021 3.30pm
Maritimo
4-1
Santa Clara
Joel (18' pen.), Henrique (38'), Costa (60'), Guitane (69' pen.)
Andrade (66')
Andrade (1' og.)
Nene (48'), Mansur (68'), Carvalho (90+1')
Feb 8, 2021 7pm
Maritimo
1-2
Santa Clara
Joel (61' pen.)
Pelagio (72')
Crysan (74'), Carlos (78')
Villanueva (59'), Carlos (79'), Mansur (90')
Sep 20, 2020 4pm
Santa Clara
2-0
Maritimo
Thiago (57', 72')
Thiago (85'), Nene (90+6')

Correa (47')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
1.30pm
Rune
Rublev
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica28232368175171
2Porto28214360194167
3Braga27202560243662
4Sporting Lisbon27183656263057
5AroucaArouca2712873132-144
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes28125112733-641
7FamalicaoFamalicao28123133035-539
8Vizela27115113128338
9Casa Pia27115112631-538
10ChavesChaves2899102833-536
11Rio AveRio Ave2797112731-434
12BoavistaBoavista2796123245-1333
13Gil Vicente2787122632-631
14PortimonensePortimonense2893162135-1430
15Estoril PraiaEstoril2874172344-2125
16Maritimo2864182451-2722
17Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira2845192149-2817
18Santa ClaraSanta Clara2836191844-2615

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!