Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
