Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 69.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 11.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Maritimo |
69.43% | 18.81% | 11.76% |
Both teams to score 46.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.83% | 45.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.49% | 67.51% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.14% | 11.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.86% | 37.14% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.45% | 47.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.1% | 82.9% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Maritimo |
2-0 @ 12.81% 1-0 @ 12.02% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 6.77% 4-0 @ 4.86% 4-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.52% 5-0 @ 2.07% 5-1 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.25% Total : 69.42% | 1-1 @ 8.94% 0-0 @ 5.64% 2-2 @ 3.54% Other @ 0.69% Total : 18.81% | 0-1 @ 4.19% 1-2 @ 3.32% 0-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.69% Total : 11.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
2 | Porto | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 11 | 34 | 45 |
3 | Braga | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 38 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 33 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
9 | Vizela | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 21 |
15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Maritimo | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
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