Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
