Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 14.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.8%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
14.09% | 21.48% | 64.44% |
Both teams to score 44.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.95% | 51.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.09% | 72.9% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.55% | 47.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.18% | 82.82% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.84% | 15.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.24% | 43.76% |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.36% 2-1 @ 3.77% 2-0 @ 2% 3-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.02% Total : 14.09% | 1-1 @ 10.11% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 3.56% Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.47% | 0-1 @ 13.57% 0-2 @ 12.8% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 8.05% 1-3 @ 6% 0-4 @ 3.8% 1-4 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-5 @ 1.43% 1-5 @ 1.07% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.05% Total : 64.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 10 | 28 | 40 |
2 | Braga | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 12 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Porto | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 33 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 28 |
5 | Casa Pia | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 24 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 22 |
8 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 20 |
9 | ChavesChaves | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 20 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 20 |
11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 19 |
12 | Vizela | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 17 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
15 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Maritimo | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 10 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 3 |
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