Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
56.27% | 24.33% | 19.39% |
Both teams to score 46.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.22% | 53.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.75% | 75.25% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.01% | 18.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.46% | 50.54% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.78% | 42.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.38% | 78.62% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 13.31% 2-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 5.28% 4-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.99% Total : 56.27% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 6.91% 1-2 @ 4.95% 0-2 @ 2.98% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
2 | Porto | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 11 | 34 | 45 |
3 | Braga | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 38 |
5 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 27 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 25 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Vizela | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 24 |
11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 23 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 21 |
13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 21 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 19 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
17 | Maritimo | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
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