Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
