Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 45.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 27.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
