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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
57.22% ( 0.02) | 23.37% ( 0) | 19.41% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.65% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.99% ( -0.02) | 50.01% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.01% ( -0.02) | 71.98% ( 0.02) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.75% ( -0) | 17.25% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.44% ( -0) | 47.56% ( 0.01) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.99% ( -0.04) | 40% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.34% ( -0.03) | 76.66% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.72% Total : 57.21% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.32% 1-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 19.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 80 |
2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 79 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 37 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Barnsley | 37 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 72 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 64 |
6 | Derby CountyDerby | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 64 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 38 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 65 | 47 | 18 | 63 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 61 |
9 | Portsmouth | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 58 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 55 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 52 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 49 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 37 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 45 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 45 |
16 | Port Vale | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 45 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 44 |
18 | Burton Albion | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 41 |
19 | MK Dons | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 39 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 37 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 35 |
22 | Morecambe | 39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 34 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 30 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 71 | -42 | 26 |
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