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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
37.76% ( -0.17) | 27.35% ( -0.26) | 34.89% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 49.73% ( 0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.17% ( 1.04) | 55.82% ( -1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.05% ( 0.84) | 76.94% ( -0.84) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.4% ( 0.4) | 28.6% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.6% ( 0.5) | 64.39% ( -0.5) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.65% ( 0.8) | 30.35% ( -0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.46% ( 0.94) | 66.54% ( -0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.75% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 61 | 22 | 39 | 77 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 74 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 72 |
4 | Barnsley | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 66 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 64 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 63 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 57 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 35 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 54 |
10 | Portsmouth | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 51 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 46 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 35 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 45 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 45 |
14 | Port Vale | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 44 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 43 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 42 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 46 | -17 | 40 |
18 | Burton Albion | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 36 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 35 |
21 | Morecambe | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 33 |
22 | MK Dons | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 33 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 30 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 23 |
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