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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Lincoln City |
43.11% ( -0) | 27.01% ( -0) | 29.88% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 49.31% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.33% ( 0) | 55.67% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.17% ( 0) | 76.82% ( -0) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.41% ( -0) | 25.59% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.53% ( -0) | 60.47% |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.27% ( 0) | 33.73% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.61% ( 0) | 70.38% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.11% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.63% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 35 |
2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 28 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
6 | Stevenage | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
7 | Blackpool | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 23 |
8 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 22 |
9 | Derby CountyDerby | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
11 | Burton Albion | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 20 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
15 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
16 | Port Vale | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 18 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 17 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 14 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
21 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 |
22 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
23 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 8 |
24 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 6 |
> League One Full Table |