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Cambridge United
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Cheltenham Town
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Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
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Lincoln City
Northampton Town
Oxford United
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Port Vale
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Wycombe Wanderers
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Lincoln City
Exeter
2 - 1
Lincoln
Nombe (33', 73')
Hartridge (50'), Key (69'), Stansfield (72'), Blackman (88')
Hartridge (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
O'Connor (19')
O'Connor (81'), House (88')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Lincoln City

Lincoln's unbeaten run suggests they are hard to beat, so we think they will have enough quality to earn a point on Saturday. There is not a lot to split the two teams, and the last two meetings between the sides have also resulted in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
43.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 29.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 49.31% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.33% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)76.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)60.47%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.73% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (0.0039999999999978 0)70.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 43.11%
    Lincoln City 29.88%
    Draw 27%
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.11%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.74%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 29.88%

How you voted: Exeter vs Lincoln

Exeter City
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Lincoln City
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Hopper (49')
Sorensen (90+2')
Nombe (14')
Sweeney (32'), Dieng (58')
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Akinde (96')
Bostwick (53'), Bolger (87'), Rhead (90')
Jay (22')
Pym (92')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Exeter
0-3
Lincoln

Stockley (13'), Taylor (22'), Martin (45'), Martin (74'), Boateng (90')
Frecklington (43'), Akinde (45'), Brown (56' og.)
Andrade (23')
May 17, 2018 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Exeter
3-1
Lincoln
Stockley (27'), Boateng (47'), Harley (69')
Stockley (89'), Moxey (90')
Green (78')
Eardley (18'), Bostwick (83')
May 12, 2018 3pm
Semi-Finals
Lincoln
0-0
Exeter

Palmer (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth15105025101535
2Oxford UnitedOxford Utd1492326141229
3Bolton WanderersBolton149232718929
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough158432516928
5Barnsley1583431151627
6Stevenage167542217526
7Blackpool156542119223
8Lincoln CityLincoln146441914522
9Derby CountyDerby146352115621
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe146352223-121
11Burton Albion165561619-320
12Leyton Orient155551418-420
13Bristol Rovers145452019119
14Cambridge UnitedCambridge155461315-219
15Charlton AthleticCharlton145362219318
16Port Vale155371223-1118
17Exeter CityExeter155281219-717
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury15528718-1117
19Wigan AthleticWigan147162117414
20Northampton TownNorthampton144281517-214
21Carlisle UnitedCarlisle163581319-614
22Fleetwood TownFleetwood143381222-1012
23Cheltenham TownCheltenham152211624-188
24Reading1431101224-126

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