MX23RW : Tuesday, March 28 08:14:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Accrington Stanley
Barnsley
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
Derby logo
Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Forest Green Rovers
Ipswich logo
Lincoln City
MK Dons
Morecambe
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Portsmouth
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Shrewsbury Town
Wycombe Wanderers
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK at Vale Park
Port Vale
1 - 0
Exeter
Forrester (60')
Robinson (68'), Harrison (90'), Smith (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hartridge (28'), Harper (48')
Harper (59')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Exeter City

Both sides are finding wins hard to come by, and with just two points separating them in the league table, we think that a close-fought contest will result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawExeter City
41.19% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 26.84% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 31.97% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.66% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)54.35% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.27% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)75.73% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.01% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)25.99% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.99% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)61.01% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (0.0020000000000095 0)31.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.94% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 41.18%
    Exeter City 31.97%
    Draw 26.84%
Port ValeDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.18%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.97%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Exeter

Port Vale
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Exeter City
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
2-3
Exeter
Politic (25'), Butterworth (87')
Brown (43', 66'), Collins (89')
Stansfield (8')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Exeter
4-0
Port Vale
Kite (24'), Brown (38' pen., 72'), Nombe (75')
Diabate (30'), Sweeney (35')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Port Vale

Stubbs (45+3')
Wilson (36')
Martin (43'), Wilson (45+1'), Stone (84')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38248667412680
2Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds37239564283678
3Ipswich TownIpswich372112472314175
4Barnsley36226860312972
5Bolton WanderersBolton3818101052312164
6Derby CountyDerby3818101059392064
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough382031565471863
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe381871351361561
9Portsmouth381513105344958
10Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury37167144741655
11Exeter CityExeter371310145348549
12Charlton AthleticCharlton381213135350349
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood381213134139249
14Lincoln CityLincoln37918103440-645
15Bristol Rovers37129165060-1045
16Port Vale38129174055-1545
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham37127183247-1543
18Burton Albion36118174770-2341
19MK Dons38116213454-2039
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd37910183949-1037
21Accrington StanleyAccrington38811193063-3335
22Morecambe39713193763-2634
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3786232859-3130
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3868242971-4226

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!