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League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Port Vale
Cheltenham
0 - 0
Port Vale
FT
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-1 Port Vale

The two teams drew 2-2 when they met earlier in the season, and we think that they could play out another draw on Saturday, which may suit both sides following their recent defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawPort Vale
29.2% (0.0010000000000012 0) 24.95% (0.0030000000000001 0) 45.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.36% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)47.65% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)69.85% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)30.08% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.79% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)66.21% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)20.82% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.5% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)53.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 29.2%
    Port Vale 45.85%
    Draw 24.94%
Cheltenham TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 7.53% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.09%
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 29.2%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 9.83% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 45.85%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Port Vale

Cheltenham Town
11.1%
Draw
33.3%
Port Vale
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Port Vale
2-2
Cheltenham
Odubeko (37'), Perry (40' og.)
N'Lundulu (24'), Brown (90+2')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
3-2
Port Vale
May (14'), Brown (18' og.), Sercombe (75')
Swan (83'), Hurst (85')
Guthrie (65'), Crookes (74')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Port Vale
1-1
Cheltenham
Tozer (39' og.)
Montano (89')
Addai (24')
Greaves (33'), Tozer (88'), Clements (94')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth15105025101535
2Oxford UnitedOxford Utd1492326141229
3Bolton WanderersBolton149232718929
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough158432516928
5Barnsley1583431151627
6Stevenage167542217526
7Blackpool156542119223
8Lincoln CityLincoln146441914522
9Derby CountyDerby146352115621
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe146352223-121
11Burton Albion165561619-320
12Leyton Orient155551418-420
13Bristol Rovers145452019119
14Cambridge UnitedCambridge155461315-219
15Charlton AthleticCharlton145362219318
16Port Vale155371223-1118
17Exeter CityExeter155281219-717
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury15528718-1117
19Wigan AthleticWigan147162117414
20Northampton TownNorthampton144281517-214
21Carlisle UnitedCarlisle163581319-614
22Fleetwood TownFleetwood143381222-1012
23Cheltenham TownCheltenham152211624-188
24Reading1431101224-126

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