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Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK at Memorial Stadium
League One | Gameweek 21
Bristol Rovers
1 - 0
Port Vale
Collins (87')
Coutts (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Politic (63'), Butterworth (85')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Port Vale
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Port Vale

With both sides being in similar veins of form, we think this will be a tightly-contested affair. However, Port Vale ended Plymouth's 100% home record last time out, so we fancy them to continue their good form here and make it three consecutive wins in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
42.4% (0.571 0.57) 25.75% (-0.148 -0.15) 31.84% (-0.423 -0.42)
Both teams to score 54.07% (0.322 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (0.48699999999999 0.49)49.94% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07% (0.434 0.43)71.93% (-0.43299999999999 -0.43)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (0.498 0.5)23.4% (-0.498 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (0.716 0.72)57.38% (-0.717 -0.72)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)29.41% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)65.4% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 42.4%
    Port Vale 31.84%
    Draw 25.75%
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.84%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale

Bristol Rovers
47.6%
Draw
26.2%
Port Vale
26.2%
42
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Port Vale
1-3
Bristol Rovers
Proctor (2')
Hall (47'), Benning (49')
Anderson (10'), Connolly (32'), Loft (90+4')
Taylor (8'), Anderson (22'), Coutts (45'), Grant (51'), Finley (77'), Anderson (90+5')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Port Vale
Collins (56')
Whelan (86'), Pitman (90+5')
Finley (15'), Harries (77')
Garrity (31', 33')
Jones (58'), Politic (60')
Jan 22, 2019 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Port Vale
Clarke (16'), Nichols (62' pen.), Rodman (68')
Clarke (22'), Rodman (45')

Hannant (45'), Conlon (54')
Conlon (58')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Harris (54' og.)
Knops (80'), Pugh (91')
Bodin (78')
Sweeney (41'), Harris (42'), Harrison (45')
Sep 24, 2016 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Port Vale
Harrison (44'), Easter (63' pen.)
Sinclair (87')
Paterson (23')
Thomas (41'), Streete (60'), Paterson (61'), Jones (65'), Brown (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth43288776463092
2Ipswich TownIpswich432613490335791
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds442612677374090
4Barnsley432671076383885
5Bolton WanderersBolton4321121057332475
6Derby CountyDerby4421121166442275
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough442341773541973
8Portsmouth4417171058471168
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe442081657461168
10Lincoln CityLincoln431320104443159
11Charlton AthleticCharlton441513166562358
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155147457
13Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury43168195056-656
14Exeter CityExeter441411196160153
15Bristol Rovers421410185566-1152
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham431311194055-1550
17Port Vale441310214565-2049
18Burton Albion421310195578-2349
19MK Dons441110234062-2243
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd43914204154-1341
21Morecambe44914214273-3141
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge43117253766-2940
23Accrington StanleyAccrington43911233674-3838
RForest Green RoversForest Green4469293184-5327

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